Why did Walker stumble?


Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker stood atop the national polls for the Republican presidential nomination. Less than two months ago, he was the front-runner in Iowa, where the first caucuses will be held next year. Yet last week, Walker abruptly dropped out of the presidential race after one of the most precipitous collapses in modern electoral history.

In a GOP campaign that has been chaotic and untraditional, Walker fell for old-fashioned reasons: He was losing support from voters and running out of money. And that, paradoxically, may be good news for establishment Republicans. It suggests that, even in this year of Donald Trump and Ben Carson, the traditional laws of politics haven’t been suspended after all.

Voters abandoned Walker because, quite simply, he wasn’t up to the job.

He made a thrilling first impression on conservatives last spring by talking about his success in fighting Wisconsin’s public employee unions. But he didn’t really have a second paragraph: a distinctive list of other things he’d do as president.

Instead, he stumbled, especially on foreign policy. On a trip to London, he refused to talk about international issues; in a television interview, he said he favored “an aggressive strategy” in Syria but couldn’t offer any details.

On domestic policies, he lunged to the right, and he improvised. He took three different positions on birthright citizenship in the course of a single week. He said he’d consider building a wall on the border with Canada.

No clear convictions

The newfound positions weren’t convincing. It was impossible for Walker to appear more truculent than Trump or more conservative than Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas. Worse, he looked like a man with no clear convictions.

One of his former campaign aides, Republican operative Liz Mair, drew up a rapid-fire list of his failings on Twitter. “Things he got wrong: Misunderstanding the GOP base, its priorities and stances,” she wrote. “Pandering. Flip-flopping. Not educating himself fast enough.”

So, in this case, the campaign worked the way campaigns are supposed to. Voters got a good look at Walker and appear to have deserted him for substantive reasons.

The second potentially encouraging lesson from Walker’s fall is that “super PAC” money isn’t everything. Earlier this year, as campaigns raised millions of dollars under new rules allowing unlimited donations, it looked as if no candidate would ever need to drop out because of dwindling funds, laying the groundwork for a long, overcrowded race, and increasing the chances that an outsider like Trump would win.

But Walker was the second candidate to drop out after his campaign ran into a cash squeeze. (Former Texas Gov. Rick Perry was the first.) So contrary to the fears of some pundits (including me), weak candidates won’t be able to stay in the race forever.

In his Sept. 21 announcement, Walker appealed to some of his colleagues to drop out so “voters can focus on a limited number of candidates who can offer a positive conservative alternative” to Trump.

That’s not likely to happen right away. The other “establishment” candidates, including former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, Florida Sen. Marco Rubio and Ohio Gov. John Kasich, are busy scooping up Walker’s abandoned supporters, donors and fundraisers.

Doyle McManus is a columnist for the Los Angeles Times. Distributed by Tribune Content Agency, LLC.