Where are the jobs?

Dallas Morning News: Unemployment is now at 10.2 percent, and if you count the people who have stopped looking for jobs, the rate is probably closer to 17 percent. The U.S. economy continues to shed jobs, making this the worst recession since World War II.

No easy solutions or miracle policies will fix things. This nation is in for a long, troubling jobless recovery — one that is beginning to resemble Japan’s malaise in the 1990s when heavy debt, high unemployment and sparse consumer spending caused a decade of economic stagnation.

In a speech last week, Richard Fisher, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, said: “It may be some time before significant job growth occurs and even longer before we see meaningful declines in the unemployment rate.”

No retail gluttony

That is not a pleasant thought for a nation that traditionally has subsisted on retail gluttony during the weeks leading up to Christmas. This year’s Black Friday, the day after Thanksgiving, will offer a sense of how wide Americans will open their wallets amid the nation’s substantial economic woes. More than likely, the day will open a sparse and disappointing retail sales season. And a meager showing could be the latest round of a self-fulfilling prophecy that will keep ... the economy from rebounding.

It’s a tall order to expect consumers to spend and companies to hire when so many remain hunkered down in survival mode. Most Americans know someone who has lost a job, and many of those still employed are rightly nervous. The economy grew at a surprising 3.5 percent annual pace during the summer, but this promising green shoot simply hasn’t been enough to reverse the dismal unemployment trend.

The president apparently hasn’t ruled out additional stimulus spending and has scheduled a White House jobs summit next month to collect ideas. It’s unclear what will come out of the December jobs meeting, but more government spending is not the way to go.