GOP makes gains in NY, Virginia races

WASHINGTON (AP) — Republicans surged to victory in governor’s races in Virginia and New Jersey on Tuesday, wresting control from Democrats in both states as independents who swept Barack Obama to a historic 2008 victory broke big for the GOP.

It was a troubling sign for the president and his party heading into an important midterm election year.

Conservative Republican Bob McDonnell’s victory in the Virginia governor’s race over Democrat R. Creigh Deeds and moderate Republican Chris Christie’s ouster of unpopular New Jersey Gov. Jon Corzine was a double-barreled triumph for a party looking to rebuild after being booted from power in national elections in 2006 and 2008.

The outcomes were sure to feed discussion about the state of the electorate, the status of the diverse coalition that sent Obama to the White House and the limits of the president’s influence — on the party’s base of support and on moderate current lawmakers he needs to advance his legislative priorities.

His signature issue of health care reform was dealt a blow hours before polls closed when Senate Democratic leader Harry Reid signaled that Congress may not complete health care legislation this year, missing Obama’s deadline and pushing debate into a congressional election year.

The president had personally campaigned for Deeds and Corzine, seeking to ensure that independents and base voters alike turned out even if he wasn’t on the ballot. Thus, the losses were blots on Obama’s political standing to a certain degree and suggested potential problems ahead as he seeks to achieve his policy goals, protect Democratic majorities in Congress and expand his party’s grip on governors’ seats next fall.

With just 21 percent of precincts reporting in New York’s 23rd House district, Democrat Bill Owens had an early lead of 51.5 percent, or 15,724 votes, to Conservative Doug Hoffman’s 43.2 percent, or 13,195 votes.

Republican Dierdre Scozzafava, who withdrew from the race Saturday, still picked up 5.4 percent with 1,442 votes.

That’s with 112 out of 606 precincts reporting in the heavily Republican district.

The race grabbed national headlines in its final days as it highlighted divisions within the Republican Party.

Some Republicans supported Scozzafava, who favors abortion rights and same-sex marriage, and argued the party needs to be more inclusive. Others backing Hoffman say the party should stay true to its conservative roots.

In Virginia, McDonnell won by big margins in rapidly growing, far-flung Washington, D.C., suburbs — places like Loudoun and Prince William counties — that Republicans historically have won but where Obama prevailed last fall by winning over independents and swing voters. Republicans swept all three statewide Virginia offices up for election: governor, lieutenant governor and attorney general.

“Bob McDonnell’s victory gives Republicans tremendous momentum heading into 2010,” declared Haley Barbour, chairman of the Republican Governors Association. “His focus on ideas and pocketbook issues will serve as a model for Republicans running next year.”

Said Tim Kaine, the Democratic National Committee chairman and the term-limited Virginia governor: “We are disappointed.”

In both states, the surveys also suggested the Democrats had difficulty turning out their base, including the large numbers of first-time minority and youth voters whom Obama attracted. The Virginia electorate was whiter in 2009 than it was in 2008, when blacks and Hispanics voted in droves to elect the country’s first black president.

Democratic victories in both Virginia, a new swing state, and New Jersey, a Democratic stronghold, in 2005 preceded big Democratic years nationally in 2006 and 2008.

Tuesday’s impact on Obama’s popularity and on the 2010 elections could easily be overstated. Voters are often focused on local issues and local personalities.

Yet, national issues, like the recession, were clearly a factor, with voter attitudes shaped to some degree by how people feel about the state of their nation — and their place in it. And, voter attitudes in moderate districts.