Residents evacuate Fla. Keys; New Orleans delays reopening

This is the fourth busiest hurricane season since record-keeping began in 1851.
KEY WEST, Fla. (AP) -- Residents boarded up windows Monday and evacuated the low-lying Florida Keys as Tropical Storm Rita gathered strength in the Bahamas, threatening to grow into a hurricane with a potential 8-foot storm surge.
In New Orleans, the mayor suspended his plan to start bringing residents back to the city after forecasters warned Rita could charge through the Gulf of Mexico and possibly reach his city's already weakened levees. Oil prices surged on the possibility that oil and gas production would be interrupted once again.
The storm had top sustained winds of 70 mph Monday evening, and it was expected to strengthen into a Category 1 hurricane, with winds of at least 74 mph, by the time it approached the Keys early today.
"The main concern now is the Florida Keys," said Max Mayfield, director of the National Hurricane Center in Miami. "It's moving over very warm water and that's extremely favorable for development."
Evacuation order
Hurricane warnings were posted for the Keys and Miami-Dade County, the hurricane center said. Residents and visitors were ordered to clear out of the entire chain of islands, connected by just one highway. Voluntary evacuation orders were posted for some 134,000 Miami-Dade residents of coastal areas such as Miami Beach.
"This storm has some potential to it. The time to go is now," said state emergency management director Craig Fugate.
While many Keys residents take pride in staying put during hurricanes, others said they were worried because of Katrina's devastation of Louisiana and Mississippi. Most stores on Key West's Duval Street were boarded up Monday and that and other streets were nearly empty as the sky turned cloudy.
"We're going north, wherever the storm isn't going," John Williams said after he and Lisa Sparks got married Monday morning on the beach in Key West. They joked that if they had a baby girl they would name her Rita.
Rita is the 17th named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season, making this the fourth busiest season since record-keeping started in 1851. The record is 21 tropical storms in 1933. Six hurricanes have hit Florida in the last 13 months.
The last hurricane to directly hit Key West was 1998's Hurricane Georges, which slammed the city with 105 mph winds, damaging hundreds of homes and closing Key West to tourists for two weeks.
Gov. Jeb Bush said Monday the highway patrol reported that traffic out of the Keys was moving well on U.S. 1. However, lines were forming at gas stations.
In the Bahamas, some public schools were closed as the storm worked its way up that chain of islands with wind and rain.
Six to 15 inches of rain was possible in the Keys, with 3 to 5 inches possible across southern Florida. A storm surge rising 6 to 9 feet above normal tide level was predicted for the Keys.
Forecasting
Long-range forecasts can be off by hundreds of miles, but hurricane center forecasters warned people along the Gulf to watch Rita closely; officials in Galveston, Texas -- nearly 900 miles from Key West -- were already calling for a voluntary evacuation there. Forecasters said Rita could be near Mexico or Texas by the weekend, with a possibility that it could turn toward Louisiana.
"This is something everyone should be paying attention to," said Daniel Brown, a hurricane center meteorologist. Katrina had crossed South Florida into the Gulf last month before hitting Louisiana and Mississippi.
The man in charge of removing water from New Orleans and repairing levees warned that Rita could affect efforts to drain water out of the city.
"We're watching Tropical Storm Rita's projected path and, depending on its strength and how much rain falls, everything could change," Col. Duane Gapinski, commander of the Army Corps of Engineers Task Force Unwatering, said in a statement.
Reopening suspended
Under pressure from President Bush and other top federal officials, New Orleans Mayor Ray Nagin suspended the reopening of large portions of the city Monday and instead ordered nearly everyone out because of the risk of a new round of flooding from a tropical storm on the way.
"If we are off, I'd rather err on the side of conservatism to make sure we have everyone out," Nagin said.
The announcement came after repeated warnings from top federal officials -- and the president himself -- that New Orleans was not safe enough to reopen. Among other things, federal officials warned that Rita could breach the city's temporarily patched-up levees and swamp the city all over again.
Death toll
The death toll from Hurricane Katrina rose to 973 across the Gulf Coast, with the number in Louisiana alone rising by 90 to 736. The mayor reversed course even as residents began trickling back to the first neighborhood opened as part of Nagin's plan, the lightly damaged Algiers section.
Nagin said he had wanted to reopen some of the city's signature neighborhoods over the coming week in order to reassure the people of New Orleans that "there was a city to come back to." He said he had strategically selected ZIP codes that had suffered little or no flooding.
But "now we have conditions that have changed. We have another hurricane that is approaching us," Nagin said. He warned that the city's pumping system was not yet running at full capacity and that the levees were still in a "very weak position."
He ordered residents who circumvented checkpoints and slipped back into the still officially closed parts of the city to leave immediately. Those areas include the historic French Quarter, the Garden District, Uptown and the central business district.
Nagin also urged everyone already settled back into Algiers to be ready to evacuate as early as Wednesday. The city requested 200 buses to assist in an evacuation, his office said.
Gov. Kathleen Blanco urged everyone in southwest Louisiana to prepare to evacuate.
"If Rita passes us by, we will thank the Lord for our blessings," Blanco told the state's storm-weary residents in a televised address.
Crude-oil futures rose above $67 a barrel Monday, in part because of worries about Rita. Chevron Corp. and Shell began evacuating employees from offshore oil- and gas-drilling platforms. Other companies were watching the storm's track but had not yet begun evacuations.