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2012 GOP race jolted with Iowa poll, Perry’s entry

Sunday, August 14, 2011

Associated Press

AMES, Iowa

The 2012 Republican presidential race lurched into a new phase Saturday as Iowans weighed in for the first time on their expanding field of presidential hopefuls, picking Michele Bachmann as their top choice for the GOP nomination.

Texas Rep. Ron Paul, who has support among libertarian-leaning voters, came in a close second. Former Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty was looking for a strong showing to boost his struggling campaign but fared a distant third, raising questions about the future of his candidacy.

Halfway across the country, latecomer Texas Gov. Rick Perry formally entered the race, declaring: “America is not broken. Washington, D.C., is broken.”

Together, the events were certain to reshuffle the race to face President Barack Obama. Exactly how was anybody’s guess, as the candidates sought an early validation that they have widespread appeal, with those further behind in the pack hoping to gain momentum and avoid increased questions over their campaign viability.

A slew of Republicans are seeking the chance to challenge Obama next fall for the leadership of a country facing a recent downgrade in its credit rating, high unemployment and Wall Street tumult. And, from Iowa to South Carolina on Saturday, several of those candidates used their perches before GOP activists in two critical early-voting states to castigate the Democratic incumbent and offer themselves as the answer to an ailing America.

“We are going to make Barack Obama a one-term president,” Bachmann declared to cheers on the campus of Iowa State University during a daylong political festival. A few hours later, she learned she won the Iowa straw poll and said: “This is the very first step toward taking back the White House!”

Bachmann — the tea party favorite with a following among evangelicals who make up the GOP base in Iowa and elsewhere — got more than 28 percent of the 17,000 votes cast in the nonbinding exercise. It provides clues about each candidate’s level of support and campaign organization five months before the Iowa caucuses kick off the Republican primary season.

“We have a lot more work to do,” Pawlenty said, suggesting he wasn’t dropping out despite the disappointing finish. “We are just beginning.”

Former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum was fourth, followed by businessman Herman Cain. Perry — who wasn’t on the ballot but was written-in by supporters — came in sixth, just ahead of GOP front-runner Mitt Romney, the former Massachusetts governor who didn’t compete in the straw poll. Also on the ballot but barely registering support: former Utah Gov. Jon Huntsman and former U.S. House Speaker Newt Gingrich of Georgia.

The results are hardly predictive of who will win the state’s winter precinct caucuses but the outcome can shape the race for the months ahead.

With the victory, Bachmann is all but certain to get a jolt of momentum just as Perry seeks to infringe on her base of tea party and evangelical support. She also made clear that she has a strong get-out-the-vote operation and a wide volunteer base in a state whose caucuses require those elements.

Bachmann, an Iowa native who has shot to the top of polls in the leadoff caucus state since entering the race, has spent weeks meeting privately with ministers, who for years have formed a useful Republican political network in Iowa. Pastors helped former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee win the 2008 caucuses, and may have done the same for Bachmann on Saturday.

As the day began, thousands of GOP activists gathered at Iowa State University for the late-summer gathering that officially serves as a fundraiser for the state GOP. They ate barbecue and listened to live music under tents on the campus while milling with candidates who delivered speeches inside the university’s coliseum, trying to sway still undecided Republican activists.

With Romney not competing, the event was a chance for some of the underdogs to try to emerge as the grassroots challenger to the GOP front-runner in national polls. For some candidates, it was about gaining momentum with strong or surprising performances. Others hoped to prove their viability.

Pawlenty, who is banking on a strong showing in the caucuses, had a lot on the line. He’s ranked low in polls despite laying the groundwork for a campaign over the past two years and has struggled to gain traction against an unexpectedly strong challenge from Bachmann in Iowa, a state critical to both of their candidacies.

Paul, for his part, was hoping for a surprise showing in hopes that would convince Republicans that he was more mainstream than not in his second shot at the GOP nomination.

The crowd ate up both his speech and Cain’s.