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HORSE RACING Wide-open Kentucky Derby expected

Saturday, April 28, 2007


The field includes Louisiana Derby winner Circular Quay.
ASSOCIATED PRESS
Four horses have run just two prep races. Four others are coming in off long layoffs. And some didn't even race as 2-year-olds. Conventional wisdom is out the window at this year's Kentucky Derby, a wide-open affair that could produce a winner whose trainer might just break all the unspoken rules.
Barbaro came into Churchill Downs last year and romped to a 61/2-length victory, becoming the first horse since Needles in 1956 to win after more than four weeks off.
"Last year I was the most unorthodox trainer there was and now this year all these people look like geniuses because they're taking five, six and seven weeks off between the races," Michael Matz said.
"When I did it, it was voodoo."
Louisiana Derby winner Circular Quay is set to run in Saturday's Kentucky Derby off an eight-week break.
"I don't believe that will be any excuse," trainer Todd Pletcher said.
Strategy
Concerned about Circular Quay's habit of dropping far back, Pletcher believed another hard race too close to the Derby would cause the colt to get lazy in the early going of the 11/4-mile race.
"By being a fresher horse, he'll lay a little closer to the pace," he said.
Circular Quay could be joined by such well-rested rivals as Hard Spun (six weeks), Florida Derby winner Scat Daddy (five weeks) and three-week vacationers Curlin and Zanjero.
Pletcher, who also trains Scat Daddy, says many of his horses run better with more time between races. The nation's leading trainer plans to send out a record-tying five Derby starters in pursuit of his first victory.
"I just don't see why that wouldn't apply to the Kentucky Derby," Pletcher said. "I know you can take all the historical facts and stats and all that, but if I do that, I'm kind of ignoring the most important data and that's on the ones I train."
Experience factor
Curlin is 3-for-3 this year, but was unraced as a 2-year-old, which defies long-held beliefs that young horses need all the experience they can get before trying the Derby. His wins include the Arkansas Derby for trainer Steve Asmussen.
John Shirreffs, who trained 2005 Derby winner Giacomo, brings that horse's half brother, Tiago, into this year's race. Tiago ran once as a 2-year-old, which Shirreffs believes was beneficial.
"The more experience they can get at running and being in different situations, the more it's going to help them later on," he said. "Going into the Derby in a 20-horse field, there's a lot of things that happen and you want to have the horse able to handle a lot of situations."
Circular Quay and Scat Daddy also both ran as 2-year-olds, giving them what Pletcher calls "a tremendous amount of seasoning."
Circular Quay, Tampa Bay Derby winner Street Sense, Great Hunter and Blue Grass winner Dominican are set to run in the Derby off just two prep races. Tradition calls for at least three.
The last Derby winner with two preps as a 3-year-old was Sunny's Halo in 1983; before that it was Jet Pilot in 1947.